CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-12-30T08:08:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-12-30T08:08ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/43667/-1
CME Note: [PRELIMINARY] The arrival of this CME was not detected at L1. A CME to the ESE, with the front clearest in STEREO A COR2 coronagraph and super faint in SOHO and GOES CCOR-1. No clear source has been found it could potentially be an impulsive C5.0 flare from Active Region 14325 (S09E27) peaking at 2025-12-30T06:45Z. There is one bright post-eruptive arcade after the flare as well, but no other coronal signatures.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-01-03T04:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/43671/1 Model Inputs: 2025-12-30T08:08:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-29.0, Lat.=-9.0, Speed=286.0, HalfAngle=27.0, Time21.5=2025-12-30T19:46Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2026-01-03T04:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=2 (kp)180=4 Other Location(s) Impact: Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251230_194600_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gifLead Time: 80.33 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Mary Aronne (M2M SWAO) on 2025-12-30T19:40Z
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